Harland & Wolff Welders vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 2
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
KNO
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
LAR
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
HAR
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
KNO
4 - 2
LCE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
3 - 1
AUN
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 6
WAR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DER
3 - 4
LCE
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 3
LCE
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |