Harland & Wolff Welders vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 2
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KNO
1 - 2
HAR
36%
24%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
HAR
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 3
HAR
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 3
BAL
30%
23%
46%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LIS
0 - 4
LAR
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
KNO
0 - 2
LIS
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
LIS
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LIS
3 - 0
DUN
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARD
4 - 0
LIS
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |