Harland & Wolff Welders vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
7º
28
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NEY
0 - 3
HAR
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUN
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
HAR
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
HAR
70%
17%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
DER
50%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 3
DER
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
KNO
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 4
WAR
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |