Härkingen vs Kerzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Härkingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 3
TPA
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LYS
2 - 2
HAR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SIE
2 - 2
HAR
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kerzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FCK
0 - 2
FCK
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FCK
1 - 2
SIE
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
FCK
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
POR
3 - 5
FCK
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FCK
4 - 0
TPA
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |