Harju JK Laagri vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
60
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 2
HJP
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 4
HJP
49%
23%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 0
FLO
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
HJP
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 2
VJK
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
VJK
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
WEL
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |