Harju JK Laagri vs Narva Trans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
6º
34
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
HJP
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
TAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
5 - 0
HJP
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 2
EPF
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 2
KUR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
3 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
TRA
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |