Harju JK Laagri vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
48
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
2 - 3
TAM
48%
23%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
6 - 1
HJP
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 0
HJP
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
KAL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAI
8%
19%
73%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
TRA
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAM
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAL
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |