Harju JK Laagri vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
HJP
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
HJP
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 1
FLO
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 1
HJP
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 0
PAI
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 2
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
PAI
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
PAR
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |