Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
6º
38
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TAL
3 - 1
HJP
23%
21%
57%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 1
KUR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 0
HJP
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
HJP
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 1
KAL
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
KAL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 2
KAL
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LEV
3 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |