Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
49
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
HJP
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
4 - 0
HJP
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HOA
2 - 1
HJP
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
KAL
32%
22%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
KAL
8%
19%
73%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
KAL
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
TRA
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
KAL
32%
22%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
KAL
22%
22%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |