Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
77
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
HJP
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 1
HJP
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
TAO
0 - 8
HJP
6%
12%
82%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HJP
0 - 4
PAR
61%
21%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
HJP
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
KUR
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 2
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
TAL
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
LEV
17%
24%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |