Harju JK Laagri vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
67.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
77
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
HJP
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
2 - 3
TAM
48%
23%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
6 - 1
HJP
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 1
LEV
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
LEV
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 1
LEV
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
6 - 1
HJP
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |