Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
10º
6º
47
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 3
HJP
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
4 - 1
HJP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
4 - 1
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 3
KAL
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
4 - 1
HJP
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
PAI
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 0
FLO
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |