Harju JK Laagri vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
53
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 26
HJP
4%
9%
88%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
5 - 1
TAB
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VJK
4 - 4
HJP
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 3
TKA
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 0
HJP
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 2
FCT
8%
13%
79%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 2
TKA
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 4
FCT
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 2
VJK
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |