Harelbeke vs ASV Geel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
HAR
2 - 0
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TIE
0 - 1
HAR
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 0
STR
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 5
HAR
32%
26%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 3
DEI
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
ASV Geel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
KFC
3 - 1
DEN
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
KFC
0 - 0
BER
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
KFC
2 - 2
TIE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
STR
2 - 1
KFC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |