Harelbeke vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
KSK
0 - 3
HAR
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
HAR
1 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
KVK
0 - 0
HAR
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
GNK
2 - 2
HAR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
LIE
0 - 0
HAR
68%
18%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
AND
30%
23%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOM
2 - 3
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
5 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 2
EKE
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
BRU
0 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |