Harefield United vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
7 - 1
HAR
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
MIL
43%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
W&C
4 - 1
HAR
43%
22%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
WAE
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
HAR
67%
16%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 0
BRU
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 2
FAR
45%
23%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
HFC
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
CIR
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
W&C
1 - 5
FLA
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +2 |