Harefield United vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
RIS
1 - 0
HAR
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 2
RAY
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
4 - 0
W&C
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 2
HAR
59%
19%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HFC
0 - 3
HAR
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RAY
4 - 3
CHA
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 3
HOL
19%
20%
60%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
WEM
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EDT
2 - 1
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
VIR
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |