Hard vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 3
HAR
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
STJ
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
HAR
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
SEE
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 1
USC
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
WOR
3 - 0
USC
47%
21%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HOH
4 - 0
WOR
67%
16%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 4
SCH
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 0
WOR
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 6
FCW
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |