Hard vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 1
HAR
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KUF
5 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
ANI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCR
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SWB
1 - 1
HAR
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 1
FCW
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SVA
0 - 1
WAT
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
3 - 1
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
WAT
0 - 0
DOR
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
KUF
0 - 1
WAT
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |