Hard vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ANI
3 - 0
HAR
81%
13%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 0
AND
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SVA
5 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 4
DOR
23%
23%
53%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TSV
2 - 0
SEE
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCR
2 - 2
TSV
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TSV
1 - 0
STJ
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 2
TSV
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TSV
1 - 2
KUF
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |