Hard vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 4
WAT
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 1
HAR
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KUF
5 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 1
ANI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCR
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
2 - 0
TSV
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TSV
1 - 6
SVA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TSV
3 - 0
DOR
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WAT
3 - 1
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
TSV
1 - 0
KUF
21%
21%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |