Hard vs TSV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
SPG
65%
18%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 1
BLA
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KUF
1 - 5
HAR
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
HOH
1 - 10
HAR
13%
19%
67%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
TSV
1 - 3
SEE
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TSV
3 - 1
SPG
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
TSV
1 - 0
KUF
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 3
TSV
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TSV
3 - 0
HOH
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |