Hard vs Ludesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
9º
31
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 0
HAR
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HAR
3 - 0
DOR
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EGG
3 - 1
HAR
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
HAR
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
ALB
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ludesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUD
2 - 1
DOR
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
LUD
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 1
ROT
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LUD
0 - 1
LOC
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RTB
0 - 1
LUD
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |