Hard vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
HAR
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
SCG
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FCH
3 - 3
HAR
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 2
LUS
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NEN
4 - 0
HAR
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 1
FCH
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
4 - 3
LOC
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCG
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCH
0 - 1
LOC
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MEI
0 - 1
LOC
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |