Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PIN
4 - 1
HAR
37%
24%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 2
DOR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCH
2 - 2
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
4 - 1
KUF
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SEE
1 - 0
HAR
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
KIT
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
6 - 0
STJ
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 2
STJ
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
DOR
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
FCH
0 - 0
STJ
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |