Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
HAR
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
KUF
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 0
HAR
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
SEE
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
SWB
18%
20%
62%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
STJ
2 - 1
SEE
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SCR
2 - 2
STJ
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
STJ
2 - 3
WAT
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 0
STJ
24%
24%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
STJ
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |