Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCR
2 - 0
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 1
ANI
42%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
4 - 1
HAR
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 3
SEE
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 1
TSV
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 2
TSV
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SPG
2 - 5
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 0
KUF
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BLA
0 - 5
STJ
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
STJ
5 - 1
HOH
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |