Hard vs Reichenau / Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
SWB
2 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 0
STJ
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
FCH
0 - 0
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HAR
7 - 2
HAL
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
HOH
0 - 0
HAR
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reichenau / Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2009 |
SPG
1 - 5
AXG
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ANI
3 - 1
SPG
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
SPG
2 - 4
SEE
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 1
SPG
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPG
1 - 0
DOR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |