Hard vs Axams / Götzens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
SWB
3 - 2
HAR
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 0
FCW
54%
22%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 0
HAR
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
STJ
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCR
2 - 0
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Axams / Götzens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
AXG
2 - 2
TSV
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
SPG
2 - 1
AXG
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AXG
0 - 1
KUF
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BLA
0 - 1
AXG
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AXG
3 - 3
HOH
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |