Hard vs Brederis/Meiningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
4º
17
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 6
HAR
27%
22%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 0
HAR
60%
19%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SCG
2 - 1
HAR
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 0
FCH
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brederis/Meiningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
LOC
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |