Hard vs Schwaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
USC
1 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 3
SVH
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
STJ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
HAR
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 1
KUF
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 6
WAT
18%
21%
62%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 3
WOL
6%
13%
82%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MOT
0 - 2
SCH
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
IMS
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
SVI
67%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |