Hard vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCW
3 - 0
HAR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
ANI
28%
22%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 2
HAR
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 6
SCH
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
USC
1 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SWB
1 - 1
WAT
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
SCR
4 - 0
SWB
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SWB
2 - 3
SEE
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
KUF
1 - 3
SWB
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SWB
2 - 1
STJ
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |