Hard vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 4
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 3
KUF
56%
21%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
RBJ
2 - 0
HAR
77%
14%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 4
SCR
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
HAR
5 - 2
SEE
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
2 - 0
SWB
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SWB
5 - 1
SVA
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
FCH
0 - 3
SWB
9%
16%
75%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
SWB
2 - 2
TSV
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SWB
1 - 2
LUS
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |