Hard vs SC Göfis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
4º
35
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 2
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 0
RTB
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 4
FCH
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 0
HAR
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
AND
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SC Göfis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
SCG
0 - 0
FCH
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 0
SCG
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SCG
1 - 1
AND
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 2
SCG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SCG
3 - 1
ADM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |