Hard vs Pinzgau Saalfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
ANI
6%
13%
82%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SCR
6 - 0
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 2
KIT
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pinzgau Saalfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
STJ
3 - 2
PIN
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 3
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KIT
3 - 1
PIN
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ANI
4 - 0
PIN
88%
8%
3%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
SCR
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |