Hard vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
KUF
3 - 0
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
HAR
0 - 2
GRO
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 1
SEE
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 3
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 0
SPG
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
KUN
0 - 4
WAT
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPG
0 - 0
KUN
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
KUN
1 - 1
ROT
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AXG
1 - 4
KUN
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
ANI
3 - 2
KUN
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |