Hard vs Kufstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HOH
2 - 2
HAR
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SEE
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCW
3 - 0
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
GRO
10%
19%
71%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
HAR
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kufstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KUF
2 - 1
PIN
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
KUF
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
KUF
2 - 3
ANI
10%
16%
75%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SCR
2 - 1
KUF
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
KUF
1 - 1
KIT
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |