Hard vs Koblach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
4º
27
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 1
AND
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BIZ
2 - 2
HAR
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 0
HAR
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
6 - 2
HIT
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 1
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 2
KBL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 1
HIT
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KBL
0 - 1
FCH
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
4 - 2
KBL
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
KBL
5 - 3
BEZ
21%
20%
58%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |