Hard vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
KUF
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HOH
2 - 2
HAR
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SEE
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCW
3 - 0
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
KIT
0 - 2
ANI
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIT
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SCR
2 - 2
KIT
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
STJ
2 - 2
KIT
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
KIT
0 - 0
WAL
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |