Hard vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STJ
3 - 0
HAR
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
USC
0 - 2
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
KUF
56%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
DOR
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 3
USC
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
KUF
2 - 1
KIT
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 2
FCW
41%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 2
KIT
61%
20%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KIT
2 - 0
SCR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |