Hard vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
REI
1 - 0
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
2 - 1
PUC
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
2 - 0
KUN
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
HOH
3 - 2
HAR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
HAR
0 - 3
NEN
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
KUF
3 - 2
KIR
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
KIR
1 - 2
REI
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
PUC
4 - 1
KIR
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KIR
1 - 2
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
KUN
0 - 0
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |