Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SEE
1 - 1
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
FCW
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 0
HAR
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
ALB
73%
16%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 3
STR
6%
13%
81%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HOH
3 - 1
PIN
67%
17%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 0
HOH
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HOH
0 - 1
ANI
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SCR
2 - 3
HOH
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOH
3 - 4
GUR
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |