Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 3
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FCW
3 - 2
HAR
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
STF
27%
27%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 0
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
3 - 3
USC
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SEE
5 - 0
HOH
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
HOH
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HOH
0 - 4
GRO
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 1
HOH
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |