Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SPG
5 - 2
HAR
31%
22%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HAR
6 - 1
AXG
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SWB
3 - 2
HAR
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 0
FCW
54%
22%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
HOH
1 - 3
TSV
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
HOH
1 - 2
SCR
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPG
9 - 1
HOH
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
HOH
0 - 5
KUF
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BLA
7 - 0
HOH
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |