Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
RBJ
6 - 2
HAR
58%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
4 - 2
SAL
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
DOR
3 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 4
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
BLA
69%
18%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 0
HOH
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
HOH
0 - 3
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AXG
1 - 3
HOH
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
HOH
1 - 0
SEE
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
AUS
4 - 0
HOH
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -3 |