Hard vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
REI
1 - 2
HAR
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
HAR
1 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NEN
1 - 2
HAR
16%
21%
62%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
HAR
0 - 0
KUN
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ALT
2 - 2
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
HOH
1 - 1
WAT
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
HOH
2 - 1
REI
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SAL
0 - 1
HOH
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
HOH
2 - 2
NEN
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
KUN
1 - 3
HOH
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |