Hard vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
HAR
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
WOR
4 - 1
HAR
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
DOR
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 4
STJ
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
4 - 0
PIN
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ANI
2 - 2
GRO
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 0
SCR
83%
12%
4%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KIT
0 - 0
GRO
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |