Hard vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AXG
0 - 5
HAR
38%
23%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 1
SWB
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCW
6 - 3
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 1
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 0
TSV
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SPG
1 - 2
GRO
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 1
RBS
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
5 - 0
KUF
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BLA
0 - 3
GRO
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |