Hard vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 1
SEE
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WAT
0 - 3
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 0
SPG
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ROT
2 - 0
HAR
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 0
AXG
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
WAT
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SPG
1 - 0
GRO
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
ROT
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AXG
3 - 2
GRO
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 2
FCH
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |